In an replace on Mississippi freight shipments, the U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) says that “currently, low water levels in the Lower Mississippi River due to scant rainfall have severely hampered fall 2022 barge shipments, especially on the vital stretch between Cairo, Ill., and Memphis, Tenn.”
The BTS notes that in 2020 the Mississippi River carried greater than half of the 165.5 million tons that moved between the 12 states touching the Upper Mississippi System and Louisiana. The proportion of freight carried by the river to Louisiana is way larger for some states: 92% for Indiana, 81% for Missouri, 80% for Illinois, and 75% for Kentucky.
Today, that move of freight has been hampered by low water ranges on the Lower Mississippi River.
Groundings and the necessity for dredging have closed sections of the river and halted barge actions for intermittent durations. U.S. Coast Guard District 8 (New Orleans) reported a backup of greater than 2,000 barges on the Lower Mississippi in early October. Low water additionally restricts the masses every barge can carry, and the narrower channel restricts the variety of barges in a single tow.
Rain from Hurricane Roselyn eased the issue barely in late October, however long-term climate forecasts don’t anticipate sufficient rain to revive full river operations for at the least a number of months.
Rail cargo is the traditional various to barges, however the rail system can have issue absorbing such an enormous short-term shift. Moreover, considerations over a attainable rail strike in 2022 have made shippers hesitant to depend on a rail possibility.
SHIPMENT OF SEASONAL PRODUCTS CANNOT AFFORD TO WAIT.
Many main barge commodities equivalent to coal, chemical substances, and petroleum transfer at related volumes year-round. Grain and different farm merchandise, nevertheless, are seasonal. In 2022, downbound (southbound) grain shipments from the Upper Mississippi by means of Lock 27, the southernmost lock on the river, have adopted the 2021 sample by means of October, however a lot of these shipments have been stalled or delayed on the Lower River.
Unfortunately, the low water has coincided with the height transport season for U.S. corn and soybeans, America’s largest export crops. The October downbound grain and ag product shipments on the Lower Mississippi beneath Lock and Dam 27 have been predominately soybeans and corn, leaving these main export commodities most weak to the Lower River disruption.
The implications are obvious in barge transport charges. By early September, barge charges have been already at report highs. Downbound grain charges on the Mississippi in October 2022 rose to greater than double the 2021 peak and remained very excessive in early November.
Freight shipped on the Mississippi River had already been affected by world occasions, notes BTS.
“World demand and prices for grain have been rising due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, drought in other producing areas, and increased consumption in China and elsewhere. Yet, despite the demand, U.S. grain and soybean exports are down due in part to the higher U.S. dollar and in part to the delivery delays caused by the compounded impact of low water and disruption to the supply chain. While domestic grain prices remain low, bid prices for U.S. export corn peaked in mid-October as the river delays were at their worst.”
The Soy Transportation Coalition estimates that barge transportation accounts for about 6% of the delivered value for soybeans shipped from Davenport, Iowa, to Shanghai. October barge charges have been as a lot as 400% above common, which might increase the delivered worth of soybeans by about 24%, inserting U.S. producers at a price drawback in comparison with these in Brazil and different opponents
Grain isn’t the one commodity affected. The Waterways Council famous that the low water has additionally delayed coal shipments which can be “very much needed in Europe” because of the invasion of Ukraine.
Besides delaying loaded downbound barge tows transferring from producing areas to vacation spot ports equivalent to Memphis, South Louisiana, and New Orleans, the low water additionally delays upbound tows transferring fertilizer and cement for spring planting and building, which additionally cuts the availability of empty barges for subsequent downbound journeys.